Week #6: 284.6 lbs (34.5%)

Lost 6.4 lbs this week! Still on track to hit my goal near the end of January.

Week #5: 291.0 lbs (33.0%)

Only down 1.2 lbs this week, but at least it was down! I spent three days this week on a business trip to Pittsburgh, and boy was is hard to be "good." My next trip isn't until Thanksgiving, so I should be able to make a lot of progress between now and then! My equation is now predicting that I'll be at my goal weight on Feb. 1st.

Week #4: 292.2 lbs (34.8%)

6.4 lbs this week! (But my body fat % went up. Oh, well!) Hopefully this trend will keep up! If it does, I should be at my goal weight by January 5th!!! Here's the graph:

Week #3: 298.6 lbs (34.2%)

Below 300!!! I'm hoping this trend keeps up! Neither of the predictive models is working very well, so I'm creating my own! It makes sense that calories burned per day is proportional to weight (one could argue that it's linear, but we'll go with proportional for now). Under this assumption, the equation is:

dw/dt = 1706 – cw(t).

Solving the equation, and using the data thus far to solve for c, we find that c = 15.4767. This gives the yellow line in the graph below. The equation predicts I'll lose 5.6 lbs this coming week, so we'll see how close that is!